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PokeNoted
Sealed Market Research • Coverage Note No. 001 • FINAL
Aug 03 2026 • live feed
Mega Evolution Block (ME01–ME05 + ME2.5)
Coverage Initiation • Pokémon TCG • Sealed Product Desk

Mega Evolution Block: A Front-Loaded Market — ME01 & Phantasmal Flames Carry the Premium While the Back Half Trades Near Retail

Every sealed SKU in the block, priced release → today, with current prices from the live TCGplayer daily feed (pulled Aug 3, 2026). Historical points from dated eBay solds, TCGplayer market snapshots, and PriceCharting comps. Sales outrank asks; contradictory prints are discarded, not headlined. StockX removed from the methodology entirely.
Top mover
AH ETB $104 → $170.65LIVE TCGplayer feed • +210% vs MSRP • case $1,816
The block split
PF Box $409 vs PB Box $187front half holds premium; ME03–05 boxes near retail
Singles apex
Gengar SIR $1,215.62most expensive EN card of 2026 • Pikachu SIR $1,160 right behind
Round trip
ME01 Box $346→$223→$31910 months • full cycle on the live feed
Prepared, audited & time-stamped by PokeNoted · Sealed Market Research Desk
Certified price audit — 33/33 sealed SKUs and 20 chase-card ladders verified against the live TCGplayer feed, Aug 03 2026 · every figure traceable to a dated record · sales outrank asks
APPROVED & SIGNED OFF BYBailey· SERIAL PN–001–ME–080326 · RENDERED —
verified (dated sale / tracker snapshot / live feed) interpolated between verified anchors MSRP baseline LINEARLOG tap any point for its source
ME01
Mega Evolution
The Round Trip — the block’s completed price cycle
DESK TAG: RECOVERED
REL 09·26·25 • 311 DAYS • 188 CARDS
ME02
Phantasmal Flames
The Charizard Premium — the block’s most expensive box on the live feed
DESK TAG: BLOCK LEADER
REL 11·14·25 • 262 DAYS • ~120 CARDS
2.5
Ascended Heroes
The Special-Set Engine — no boxes, staggered waves, God Packs
DESK TAG: MOMENTUM
REL 01·30·26 • 185 DAYS • 295 CARDS — LARGEST EN SET EVER
ME03
Perfect Order
The Retail Reversion — spring premium fully given back
DESK TAG: AT RETAIL
REL 03·27·26 • 129 DAYS • 124 CARDS
ME04
Chaos Rising
Hot Launch, Cold Settle — Greninja premium worked off in 10 weeks
DESK TAG: NEAR MSRP
REL 05·22·26 • 73 DAYS • 122 CARDS
ME05
Pitch Black
Live Correction — $300 launch peak unwinding toward retail
DESK TAG: CORRECTING
REL 07·17·26 • 17 DAYS • 120 CARDS

Data & Method

LIVE LAYER — TODAY

Current prices come from TCGplayer’s daily market-price feed (via the public TCGCSV mirror), pulled per set and matched to each product’s exact ID — the same Market Price shown on the product page, to the cent.

HISTORY LAYER — DATED RECORDS

Trend points before the live pull are anchored to dated market records: eBay completed auctions, TCGplayer price snapshots, and tracker records (Cardrake, PackMagik, Beckett), each cited in its point’s tooltip. Unanchored stretches are drawn hollow and labeled estimated.

DESK MANDATES  ·  Sales outrank asks, always — every source is transaction-based  ·  StockX excluded by mandate (ask-driven)  ·  Solid dots = verified to a dated record; hollow dots = estimated and labeled  ·  Every product links to its exact TCGplayer page  ·  Sources cross-validated where they meet